Trevor Lawrence Dynasty Value: Why He's a Buy Low for 2026 | The Flex Spot

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 in 2025 PPR fantasy football but dynasty managers still undervalue him. Breaking down his buy-low dynasty value and why the window is closing for 2026.

Trevor Lawrence Dynasty Value: Why He's a Buy Low for 2026

By The Flex Spot

Trevor Lawrence is currently being undervalued in dynasty leagues. If you need a quarterback for your roster, now is the time to target him. Here is why.

Lawrence enters 2026 as a proven top-5 fantasy quarterback on a points-per-game basis after finishing QB4 in PPR scoring for the 2025 season at 20.6 PPG. At just 26 years old, he is locked into a stable, long-term starting role with the Jaguars. For added perspective, Lawrence is also less than a year older than Bo Nix, which shows how young he still is despite already being an established NFL starter.

His 2025 stat line was no fluke: 4,007 passing yards, 29 passing touchdowns, only 12 interceptions, 359 rushing yards, and 9 rushing touchdowns over a full 17-game slate. That production places him firmly in the elite tier alongside Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and the other perennial top fantasy options. See where Lawrence stacks up in our 2026 QB Rankings .

Yet dynasty markets still have not fully caught up. Many owners continue to value him based on his 2021 through 2024 seasons, pricing him more like a mid-tier QB2 who can be acquired for an aging veteran, a mid-round pick, or a package centered around a WR2. That creates a clear buy-low window before his value climbs again this offseason and into next year.

The breakout also is not random. It is tied directly to Liam Coen, the offensive mind who previously transformed Baker Mayfield from a middling fantasy asset into a top-5 performer. The parallel is striking and repeatable, giving strong evidence that Lawrence's elevated floor and ceiling are sustainable in this system.

Baker Mayfield Pre and Post Coen

From 2018 to 2023, Mayfield was a consistent but limited fantasy asset, averaging around 17 PPG in PPR formats and typically finishing in the QB15 to QB20 range. He flashed upside at times but struggled with inefficiency, turnovers, and inconsistent supporting casts.

Then in 2024, with Liam Coen as offensive coordinator in Tampa Bay, Mayfield jumped to QB4 at 22.5 PPG over 17 games. His completion percentage climbed to a career-best 71.4 percent, he threw 41 touchdowns, and he added meaningful rushing production while cutting down on mistakes. The scheme emphasized quick decisions, play-action, YAC opportunities, and designed runs that played to his mobility. It was a clear before-and-after transformation.

Trevor Lawrence Pre and Post Coen

Now apply the same lens to Lawrence. Pre-2025, from 2021 to 2024, he averaged roughly 15 to 17 PPG, landing around QB15 to QB20 most seasons despite his elite arm talent and athletic profile. Injuries, offensive line issues, and schemes that failed to maximize his dual-threat ability kept him capped. Turnovers lingered as a concern, and his rushing production, typically 200 to 350 yards with 3 to 5 touchdowns, felt underutilized.

In 2025, Liam Coen arrives as head coach in Jacksonville and installs a similar rhythm-based, efficient attack. Lawrence responds with a QB4 finish at 20.6 PPG, nearly identical to Mayfield's leap under Coen. Completion rate improves to 60.9 percent on high volume with 560 attempts, passing touchdowns hit 29, interceptions drop relative to attempts, and rushing production explodes to 9 touchdowns on 359 yards.

The offense features a strong group of pass catchers in Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers, and Parker Washington, all contributing to YAC, red-zone production, and overall efficiency. For more on how these receivers rank for dynasty, check our 2026 WR Dynasty Rankings .

The Liam Coen Common Denominator

The pattern is unmistakable. In 2024, Liam Coen unlocked Baker Mayfield from average QB2 production into top-5 elite status. In 2025, the same offensive mind elevates Trevor Lawrence from that same frustrating mid-tier range to identical QB4 output.

Without Coen, both quarterbacks were solid but rarely elite fantasy options. With Coen, both become top-5 weekly starters in PPR formats. The blueprint holds across schemes and situations. Coen prioritizes clean operations, leverages quarterback mobility, and creates high-leverage opportunities that turn good quarterbacks into consistent fantasy difference-makers.

Go Get Him

Lawrence remains undervalued because dynasty markets lag and managers cling to pre-2025 perceptions. At 26 years old, with a proven offensive architect now in place and year two of the system coming, his floor is high and the ceiling is even higher.

In your league, the Lawrence manager probably is not valuing him as a top-5 dynasty quarterback yet, even though that is where he is headed. Target him aggressively in trades. Use our Dynasty Trade Value Chart to frame the right offer.

In my league, I got Lawrence for Kyle Williams and Sam Darnold since the other owner already had Allen. If possible, do the same. You are getting a top-5 quarterback who will win you weeks, especially in a 1QB league where the manager already has an elite option like Allen, Maye, Jackson, Williams, or similar. In superflex, this becomes even more important. This is a foundational piece at a price that will look silly in 12 to 18 months.